Someone will make a public version of the tool, it’ll get scraped up into the next round of AIs’ training data, then they’ll just know how to write the whole program for the next person with that problem immediately
I think I know what you’re getting at: the costs of building vs buying have to be assessed and you should go with the lower cost. What I’m grasping at is that the costs of building for everyone will continue to fall.
Yeah...I think there are two things going on here:
1) I agree that the costs will continue to fall, but for certain things they'll fall a lot faster as more people are able to do them. I suspect there will probably be some aesthetic dimension to the decision-making as well even beyond just the build vs buy. I can choose to record myself playing a song by my favorite band, I can go see a cover band, or I can go see the band themselves live. Or why do you choose to buy one style of dinner plate over another? Or one type of tile for your bathroom over another?
2) I suspect there will be a separate class of things that the costs fall slower for that you still need expertise to do (maybe larger scale? more complicated?), or expertise to make the costs fall faster than someone untrained. For example, if you look at some of the processes people have invented for working through todo lists with Claude Code vs just naively using it.
Someone will make a public version of the tool, it’ll get scraped up into the next round of AIs’ training data, then they’ll just know how to write the whole program for the next person with that problem immediately
Do you think there are any reasons at all that someone would choose something off the shelf or pre-made over making it themselves?
I think I know what you’re getting at: the costs of building vs buying have to be assessed and you should go with the lower cost. What I’m grasping at is that the costs of building for everyone will continue to fall.
Yeah...I think there are two things going on here:
1) I agree that the costs will continue to fall, but for certain things they'll fall a lot faster as more people are able to do them. I suspect there will probably be some aesthetic dimension to the decision-making as well even beyond just the build vs buy. I can choose to record myself playing a song by my favorite band, I can go see a cover band, or I can go see the band themselves live. Or why do you choose to buy one style of dinner plate over another? Or one type of tile for your bathroom over another?
2) I suspect there will be a separate class of things that the costs fall slower for that you still need expertise to do (maybe larger scale? more complicated?), or expertise to make the costs fall faster than someone untrained. For example, if you look at some of the processes people have invented for working through todo lists with Claude Code vs just naively using it.